Azalea, Ace in the Hole
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.