Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
20%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.2
Surp
5.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
20% (2/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
34th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Harter (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Biros (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max McLean (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Olson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.