Ira, Scarlet Revenger
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Carter Barton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
11th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
38th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derek Cockrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Carter Barton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paula Stolzer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Carter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max McLean (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.