Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.