Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
31st • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Carter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carter Barton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.