FaB-Results

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Fouk
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Dash I/O
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Aurora, Shooting Star
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xander Toepfer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Viserai, Rune Blood
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Viserai, Rune Blood
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paula Stolzer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Jesse Hinman
36th • 3-2-2
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mark lewis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Uzuri, Switchblade
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.