Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025

Kano, Dracai of Aether

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Micaiah Wooten

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 82:18

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Conrad Niebuhr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.04
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.24
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jon Gibson

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.09
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Elliot Bicker

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.37
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Zak Miller

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.