Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark lewis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.