Arakni, Marionette
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Douglas Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Xander Toepfer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
16th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Olson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
22nd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carter Barton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark lewis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-1
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Irvin Tostado (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.