Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.