Nuu, Alluring Desire at Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic

Nuu, Alluring Desire

27 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

3rd • 10-4-0

50%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

7.4

Surp

5.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tanner Propst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (7/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.06
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.39
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.47
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.68
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.45
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Dyllon Dietz

5th • 11-2-0

54%

Meta

+4.7

Perf

6.2

Surp

6.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Salgado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.07
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.17
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.26
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.40
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.77
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.57
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.02
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Brummett

43rd • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Beam (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Reed (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Austin Henson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Max McLean (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.44
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.54
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.83
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Joe Canton Encarnacion

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Hinman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs James Wray (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colton Walker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Derek Cockrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

Mark lewis

dropped • 4-2-1

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Stamenkovich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Ashton Dorsey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	75%	Draw	✓	0.77	-

Brandon Makowski

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jameon Delp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs William Bradshaw (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

Jared Wyce

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.31
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.31
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jenan Wise

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Micah Luff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Chappell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.47
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.46
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.76	2.03

Sophia Claire

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Harmony Meade (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Martin Burch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Will Earnhardt

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Cody Campbell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.77
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

James Wray

dropped • 3-1-3

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Matt Langston (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Fields (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Draw	✓	0.75	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Draw	✓	0.69	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.95
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Timothy Carter

dropped • 3-3-1

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nick Desmarais (Unknown)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Stamenkovich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Jamie Foster (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.38
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Draw	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Darren Rennie

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Kelly (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Stanko (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.18
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Jeremiah Oldes

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Benefield (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.47
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ryan Hess

dropped • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin McBride (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Elle Roffman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matt Langston (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.46
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Kent Summerour

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.47
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Benjamin Lawton

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Roffman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.18
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Drew Peastrel

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew White (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Holden Isaacs

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs HUNTER WALTERS (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.62

Aaron Moore

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Su (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Goomroyan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Alex Pagnani

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ash Jones (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Andrew Watkins

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.54
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Caleb Engen

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.51
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Ethan Davison

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.40
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Kaileb Shipman

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Anthony DeMeo

dropped • 0-2-1

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Daniel Todd (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Draw	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

HUNTER WALTERS

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Knight (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Campbell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.