Ira, Scarlet Revenger
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Kimball (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Win vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
39th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyson Au (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Victor Mercado (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
55th • 6-6-0
42%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Farrar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Walker Roberts (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Randy May (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kent Summerour (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Draw |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Salgado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xander Toepfer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Stenstrom (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Reed (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs John Booher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs HUNTER WALTERS (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andre Francis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Geoff Walter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Burch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel White (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Biros (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Conrad Niebuhr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edward Knight (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Schnell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Knight (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Wadley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Bullie (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Andrews (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric LaGaccia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Watkins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.