Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Calling: Memphis 2025 [A]

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mason Taylor

25th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.4

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Win	✗	0.84	0.22
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.79
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.41
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.98
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Nick Tucker

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bradley Cox (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 81:19

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.14
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.27
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.50

Ben Odenheimer

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Kelly (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Revera (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.18
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Scott Sharpe

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.51
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.96
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matthew White

dropped • 0-5-0

60%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Watts (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Amanda Sullender

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.14
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Tyler Bullie

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.