Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

25th 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Micah Luff (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Viserai, Rune Blood
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Uzuri, Switchblade
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bradley Cox (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Kelly (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Nuu, Alluring Desire
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Revera (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Nuu, Alluring Desire
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Dorinthea Ironsong
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chase Reiser (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Nuu, Alluring Desire
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Aurora, Shooting Star
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
dropped 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Viserai, Rune Blood
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82
Viserai, Rune Blood
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 18:82
Uzuri, Switchblade
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Watts (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Dorinthea Ironsong
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.