Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic

Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

31st • 8-4-0

33%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

5.8

Surp

5.1

Diff

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Witt Lucas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Kano, Dracai of Aether

90:10

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 89:11

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (4/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.77
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.69
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.11
R9	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.86

dropped • 6-5-0

55%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Harter (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 65:35

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Austin Revera (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 72:28

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Long (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.09
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.11
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.51
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.22
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.40
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.87
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hess (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Stenstrom (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kristian Schnell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71

Nuu, Alluring Desire

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Darren Rennie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Fields (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Salgado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 72:28

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.53
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Brett Williamson

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Viserai, Rune Blood

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Joseph Musgrove

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Dash I/O

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

Nuu, Alluring Desire

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs James Wray (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.20
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Michael Dirksen

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

Dash I/O

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.99
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.55

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ash Jones (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

dropped • 1-3-0

0%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Stamenkovich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chase Effler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

Bravo, Showstopper

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.