Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kristian Schnell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
20th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Roffman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kristian Schnell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
21st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Dirksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Round 4: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Levi Zinkhon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Round 10: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Biros (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
51st • 7-4-1
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Draw |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Wadley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bradley Cox (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Darren Rennie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Loss vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Langston (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Pistel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew W (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Su (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Salgado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Effler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Andrews (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Conrad Niebuhr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Campbell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amber Pennington (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Conrad Niebuhr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Fields (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jameon Delp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colton Walker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Benefield (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hess (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
Round 4: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Walker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Anthony DeMeo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Benefield (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Su (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.