Dorinthea Ironsong
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 6-6-0
17%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex DeShazo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Round 7: Win vs Kristian Schnell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 23:77
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Henson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Reed (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Watts (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derek Cockrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex DeShazo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 23:77
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Hayslip (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.