Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed
Arakni, Marionette
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
18th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Evans (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 10: Win vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Webb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
27th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Wray (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Benefield (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Salgado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Max McLean (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
40th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trey Herring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Acklin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Witt Lucas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 12: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
45th • 7-4-1
58%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony DeMeo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Effler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 10: Win vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 12: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Draw |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Reed (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Benefield (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Pagnani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew W (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Geoff Walter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jerry Theuns (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bradley Cox (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Irvin Tostado (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Ash Jones (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Wray (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keegan McNear (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emery Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Marchant (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geoff Walter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Walker Roberts (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matt Langston (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Francis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trey Herring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Hess (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.