Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Codi Barnett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Henson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashton Dorsey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jeffery Fredrickson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kent Summerour (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Hayslip (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.