Calling: Memphis 2025 [A] Classic Constructed - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Su

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Irvin Tostado (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dayton Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Roffman

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.50
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Nick Reak

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Stecker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Trent Lynch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 30:70

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.96
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Dalton Gomez

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.