Lexi, Livewire at United States National Championship
Lexi, Livewire
105 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 9-2-0
91%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.3
Surp
5.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Cudney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Round 13: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Round 17: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R17 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
3rd • 7-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pheano Black (Unknown)
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Pheano Black (Unknown)
Round 16: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Burnham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elias Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Suchomel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 13: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
36th • 7-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
5.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jaime bessett (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Torres (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Solymos (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ray lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Andrews (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Unknown)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeffrey White (Unknown)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
70th • 7-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Revera (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Colon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Baker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ryan Rich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
21st • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Mattinson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anh Tran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nathan Beni (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Devin Rattenni (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dave Lin (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Leonard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeffrey White (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Riley Adams (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
41st • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
6.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Leany (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
58th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
6.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Towne (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Porter Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Dave Lin (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
65th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinh Vien (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Dakotah Kintigh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
113th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Reed (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ariana Loveday (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zac Bailey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
122nd • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michelle Chmura (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Arjun Garg (Unknown)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Unknown)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Unknown)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
17th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
19th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TJ Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Leasure (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
20th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zak Cargin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
85:15
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 85% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Pearlman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alex Becker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
37th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Desautels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Riley Adams (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Trenton McBride (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
39th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Yongji Yang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Webb (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leo Shea (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
42nd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rachel Stoddard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trent Lennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
47th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Round 14: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
49th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Brummett (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Shoopman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devin Rattenni (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zach Benton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
56th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jake Wenger (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Paul White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
64th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
69th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark sipics (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Humbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Harrison (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
120th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Jon Ho (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
143rd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elly Bird (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryan Warner (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
151st • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Salmon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Fay (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Bell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
43rd • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Tucker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Porter Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joe Colon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 14: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
45th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leo Shea (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remington Aalbers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zach Bunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 13: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
48th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew White (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Reed (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
62nd • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Kim (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 12: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
96th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Sixto (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edward Knight (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Biava (Unknown)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Majin Bae (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
97th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rachel Stoddard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Sixto (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
103rd • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thrad Weibley (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Josef Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Riley Adams (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
105th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JP Coleman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 11: Loss vs Ulrich Sovitzky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs William Pistel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Barnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
121st • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tae Kim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Patrick Jones (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
127th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Sanmiguel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Paul White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Todd Woodworth (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Julian Helgeson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
149th • 3-4-1
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Gilbert (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Andrews (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Stephen Leany (Unknown)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Fay (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Darren Rennie (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bryan Warner (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
131st • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amber Pennington (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darren Knopes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Freddy Sixto (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
Round 13: Loss vs David Sitrick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
132nd • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Barron (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Unknown)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 13: Loss vs Dakotah Kintigh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
125th • 2-6-0
100%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Rath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Willard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Woodland (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Unknown)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Leavitt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Barnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Abanto (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Darren Knopes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Wenger (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kayla Ginter (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Burrell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sage Husanu (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Long (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Unknown)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Freddy Sixto (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Jackson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zephen James (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Paladino (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs aaron leblanc (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jie ma (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Dyck (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Desautels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Willard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Tran (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Towne (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Modell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Beygelman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TJ Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jude Cornett (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lahoci Franco (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elly Bird (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Colon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilana Hensley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Houk (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake Woodward (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damien Riggins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaden Urdiales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Ferris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Towne (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Chiechi (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Pearcy (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Revera (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs William Harrison (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damien Riggins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs William Garcia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Sixto (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Jackson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TCGTed Grabow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Revera (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jenson Wilhelm (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Burrell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Mason Paladino (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Austin Barta (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Unknown)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Bunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cole Torres (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip martinez (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Thomas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Birky (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Heath Scheiman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pheano Black (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Huskinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Prejean (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Barnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Brown (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Pham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Greg Mitchell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Tucker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greg Mitchell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Ferris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ulrich Sovitzky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Shaffer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jie ma (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Moss (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Modell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Preston Stahley (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Anh Tran (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Ginter (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Gilbert (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Fields (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gerald Toms (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Zellner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs William Garcia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tae Kim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeerod Balangan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Johnson (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amber Pennington (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Leonard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Mainhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Becker (Unknown)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan Mitchell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Yorko (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Biava (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Woodland (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Becker (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gregory Stahl (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ilana Hensley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Little (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Trotta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Hudson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Sanmiguel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CODY READY (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Harper (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pearlman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Mattinson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.