Briar, Warden of Thorns
46 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-1-0
36%
Meta
+5.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
11.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Pham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Jaden Urdiales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 16: Win vs Craig Krempels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 17: Win vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
11.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R16 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R17 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
5th • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Powell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Geiger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
40th • 7-1-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
7.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kurka (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Sitrick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Reitenbach (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
80th • 7-1-0
88%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Lin (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yongji Yang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
29th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
7.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Fowler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Carson Osborne (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Freddy Sixto (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Zac Bailey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Reitenbach (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 14: Win vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
34th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ian Becker (Unknown)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
77th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
7.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Shewan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Charlton Smith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Evan Dyck (Unknown)
Round 14: Win vs Nathan Beni (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
16th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gerald Toms (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs George Hudson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
53rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gregory Stahl (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Tucker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Fraser (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 11: Win vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Dave Lin (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
60th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Baker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Levy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
79th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
6.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Freddy Sixto (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Mangles (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Botchis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Win vs Zac Bailey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ulrich Sovitzky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs David Reitenbach (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
88th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CODY READY (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
99th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs ray lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ian Becker (Unknown)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Tickal (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
140th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Pollitt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
109th • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Kyle Nunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Archer Taylor (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Geiger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ian Shaffer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
50th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Beygelman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
61st • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brendan Patrick (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
85th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lahoci Franco (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs Trent Lennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yongji Yang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
94th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ulrich Sovitzky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Perez (Unknown)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Barnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
106th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Evans (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Sixto (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryson Peek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Apfelbaum (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Leavitt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Porter Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ronan Sovitzky (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Gregory Stahl (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Wong (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JP Coleman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Hoang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Willard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harrison Timothy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Mott (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Tony Le (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Magaha (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Krehbiel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Michael King (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Remington Aalbers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Shaffer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Pepe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael King (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Ariana Loveday (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs christian gilbert (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nam Vo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Becker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Currie (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Arruza (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elly Bird (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyler Dustin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Mangles (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Ginter (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ulrich Sovitzky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip martinez (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyler Dustin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donovan Mitchell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Dart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Arruza (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Canales (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emmanuel Barron (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Amber Zee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Elrod (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Sloat (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Huskinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Porter Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Amber Zee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.