Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at United States National Championship
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
84th • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
8.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Todd Caudill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 11: Win vs John Abanto (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Dyck (Unknown)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs David Sitrick (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
8.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
138th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alejandro Fernandez (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Paris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
111th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mitchell Tillery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Ramirez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zach Benton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Steven Doan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Pearcy (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Stanko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Barron (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chad Burden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TCGTed Grabow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Unknown)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferguson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Desautels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jomar Rosete (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Becker (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Todd Woodworth (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Terrell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gregory Stahl (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Moss (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Zsiga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Chiechi (Unknown)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cortez omana (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Bunn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Currie (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Webb (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.