Viserai, Rune Blood at United States National Championship
Viserai, Rune Blood
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
93rd • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elise Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nathan lapham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Win vs Zack Phillips (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaac Houk (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
115th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Gump (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Unknown)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Evan Dyck (Unknown)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-0-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Brown (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Restrepo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Jeffs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs David Clark (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Zsiga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Leany (Unknown)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Fraser (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Apfelbaum (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Santa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Canales (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jasiel Diez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Round 4: Win vs Chris Pepe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke MacDowall (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Krehbiel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.