Katsu, the Wanderer
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
124th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Benton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Restrepo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Elise Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Adam Columbia (Unknown)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
101st • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Pepe (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Unknown)
Round 13: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
134th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Moss (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip martinez (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kyle Pollitz (Unknown)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Pearcy (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Canales (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Braden Phillips (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mason Taylor (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jason Nakata (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs aaron leblanc (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felipe Restrepo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Paladino (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Trotta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Mason Taylor (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Sievert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Botchis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Tucker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Kolp (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Jackson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Jessell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-2
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs William Harrison (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Reno (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Reno (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Trodden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Parker (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs June Aino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Currie (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.