Bravo, Flattering Showman at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Bravo, Flattering Showman

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Justin Michael

2nd • 9-2-0

82%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.9

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Garrett Kaufman (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sean Murray (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Max Escaler (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Joely English (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Mark Morrison

3rd • 8-2-0

50%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Levia) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Kowalczyk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Joely English (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.24
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Peter Buddensiek

12th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Hinson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Casey Klein (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Chip Chamberlin (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs CODY READY (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Stephen Ford

33rd • 5-2-1

88%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Brandon Hartman (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Menion Croll (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Summer Martini (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adam Hine (Levia) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Matthew Halstad

26th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mason Blazer (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sawyer Stalcup (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zach Johnson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: 64:36

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Michaud (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Harrison Plott

30th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Michaud (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs John Bagi III (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kendric Bohannon (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sawyer Stalcup (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Austin Keith (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R5	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Summer Martini

40th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Steven Galarza (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sawyer Stalcup (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kobee Davis (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs CODY READY (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stephen Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Colby Homan (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Addison Woodward-Parrish

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Stephanie Hine (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Douglas Chapman

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Bagi III (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Kowalczyk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Arianna Arias (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Hinson

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Clayton Dell (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs Alan Willenbring (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mason Blazer (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Bache (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jamal Salem Saedidaryan

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Hook

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Chu (Levia) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (0.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Fredrick Gamble

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Alvarez (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrew Chambers

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Kelly (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Bugoci

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Levia) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.