Dorinthea at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Dorinthea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Colton Nelson

36th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alli McConnell (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stephanie Hine (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Bache (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Max Escaler

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Menion Croll (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Devine (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Justin Michael (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Robert Fulkerson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Proctor

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Holder (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs juniper dowell (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Garrett Kaufman

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Michael (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dana Valentine (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.