Hala at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Hala

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Wilborn

5th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ezra Rowe (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Casullo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ricky Linn (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Casey Klein (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Harrison Plott (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Michaud (Hala) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Michael (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Michaud

11th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Harrison Plott (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Elias Ananda (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Ross (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Brett Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Stephanie Hine

41st • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jun Pierson (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs John Holland (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Colton Nelson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Steven Powell (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sean Murray (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Josh Chrvala

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs John Minicozzi (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cody Bavin (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Devine (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Chuck Ford (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sean Murray (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.