Iyslander at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Iyslander

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brett Williamson

16th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cody Bavin (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Michaud (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Kelly (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Casey Klein (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jonah Overholt

19th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Clay Campbell (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adam Hine (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Laflamme (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.15
R6	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Charles Ligato

34th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ricky Linn (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs William Snead (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Hine (Levia) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Stancil (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Douglas Chapman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Chris Kowalczyk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Loss	✓	0.85	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.21
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Kelly

37th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Fulkerson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kobee Davis (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs John Holland (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Sumera (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Sumera

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael King (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Wallin (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dustin LaMontagne (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Bache (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Kelly (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Proctor (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Willenbring (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Griffin Meyers

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Josh Perry (Levia) - Expected: 85:15

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Wray

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

tyler whicker

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cody Branom (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Logan Stancil (Levia) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Silver Age	Levia	85%	Loss	✓	0.85	-

Joe Santianna

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Willenbring (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Trevor Valentine

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.