Enigma at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Enigma

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Maggert

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin Sanders

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Elyse Symmes

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steven Galarza

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Summer Martini (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.