Levia at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Levia

27 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

5th • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Garrett Brown (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Holland (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alain Arduain (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Max Escaler (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Justin Anthony (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.55
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.97
R8	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Logan Stancil

17th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs tyler whicker (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs William Snead (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael King (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alain Arduain (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.85	0.68
R3	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.20
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Noah Beygelman

22nd • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lauren Hall (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael Holder (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aaron Eastlake

35th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Robert Fulkerson (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Stephanie Hine (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Stephen Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Mason Laney

44th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs William Snead (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Colton Nelson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Laflamme (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wyatt Stancil (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Keith (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chuck Ford (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Steven Powell

46th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adam Hine (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Clayton Dell (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Stephanie Hine (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Setser (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brodie Spurlock

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin Sanders (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Hine

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Unknown)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Powell (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.85	1.54
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Laflamme

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin Keith (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs CODY READY (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R6	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Aquino

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zach Johnson (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Holder (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Steven Powell (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Kowalczyk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.24
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

charles singleton

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Casullo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Wallin (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Lynch (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniel Lynch

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Haele Edens (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Holder (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Keith (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ricky Linn (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs charles singleton (Levia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Josh Perry

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Luca Mitchell (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Walter Snowden

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs TCGTed Grabow (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Colby Duncan

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Setser (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mason Blazer (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dana Valentine

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kody Samaroo (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Kaufman (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Meriwether

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Richard Moore (Dromai) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Austin Harris

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gil Beloate (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bernard Eng

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 15:85

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Brian Bardolf Fawcett

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Elias Ananda (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chad Heuschober

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel White

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alan Cox (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Darren Rennie

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Murray (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Javier Gonzalez

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Philip Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jimmy Nguyen

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Jonathan Chu

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Phillip Bradford

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bache (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.