Fai at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Fai

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alain Arduain

28th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chip Chamberlin (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Bache (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Logan Stancil (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Clayton Dell (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wyatt Stancil

51st • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs juniper dowell (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs William Snead (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mason Laney (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Setser (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Arianna Arias (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Menion Croll

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Max Escaler (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lauren Hall (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Casey Klein (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ricky Linn (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Casullo

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs charles singleton (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Austin Keith (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Elias Ananda

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brian Bardolf Fawcett (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Angelo Jeon (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Michaud (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Michael King (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Wallin

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Abdul Mousa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Sumera (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs charles singleton (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Cody Bavin

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Justin Jones (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Josh Chrvala (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R2	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Angelo Jeon

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Baalghor, Omen of the End) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Elias Ananda (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chip Chamberlin (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Baalghor, Omen of the End	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Colin Ross

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arianna Arias (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Devin Chen

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sjohn Chambers

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Place (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Billy Uribes

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Charles Sharretts

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jake Walker

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mac Caldwell (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Alvarez

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Green (Arakni) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Terrence Blackwell

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.