Dromai at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Dromai

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Austin Keith

43rd • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Laflamme (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Kavanaugh (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Lynch (Levia) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Casullo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Harrison Plott (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chris Kowalczyk (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Wyatt E (Malice) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.87
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.45
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Malice	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael King

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Sumera (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Elias Ananda (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Logan Stancil (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Clayton Dell (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zach Johnson

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kobee Davis (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Halstad (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robert Fulkerson

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Eastlake (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David Place (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Kelly (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chuck Ford (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Max Escaler (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luca Mitchell

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Perry (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Cody Parish

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joely English (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Richard Moore

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Meriwether (Levia) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.