Dash at Sunday Showdown: Atlanta 2026

Dash

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Arianna Arias

50th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Ross (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Millwee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bryant Wilson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs eric brandon (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Douglas Chapman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Setser (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Wyatt Stancil (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jason Brannick

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kobee Davis (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Fontan

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.