Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
100%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Millie Marcotte (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derry Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
20th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean-François Dufour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robert Alessi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liam Harrop (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
27th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Beck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Travis Woodward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emily muise (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
32nd • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Magri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Liam Harrop (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Evelyn Hills (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
10th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Allan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evelyn Hills (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Connie Barnett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lerer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greyson Hann (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Courtney MacIsaac (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
26th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Magri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Robson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
39th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emily muise (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
51st • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis Woodward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 10: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
52nd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Bry (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jordan Robson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
55th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Furlong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Robson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Millie Marcotte (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Devon Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Woodward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs May Atlas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Mitchell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Trinh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Round 8: Loss vs augustine shim (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Warren (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jean-François Dufour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hembroff (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dien Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hugo Bry (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.