
Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
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59th • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.