National Championship 2026 - Canada - Zyggy Starlight (CC)

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jordan Robson

50th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Avery Myles (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.06
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.19
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.00
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.25

Courtney MacIsaac

57th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Schulte (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan Yeo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Susan Winther (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.21
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.46

Sade Kyle

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.