Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026 - Canada
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sade Kyle (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Win vs William Yetman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emily Froese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Round 10: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
11th • 6-1-0
57%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Brannen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dalia Morin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gavin Furlong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Winther (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.