Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Dash I/O
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Magri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83
dropped 1-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92
Kassai of the Golden Sand
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.