National Championship 2026 - Canada - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Magri

41st • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

85:15

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Coady Blanchard (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Justin Tanas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.30
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Jakob Allan

42nd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs May Atlas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.04
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Chris Borecky

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Mitchell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Derry Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Angel Fernandez

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Trinh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.32
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Philippe Thai

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

Raine Karan

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Susan Winther (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.43
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.