National Championship 2026 - Canada - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Travis Woodward

44th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs randy lavoie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Millie Marcotte (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.99
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Hugo Bry

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rylie Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Leveiller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.58
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Nicholas Mitchell

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jiuzhou Hao

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.