Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Travis Woodward

44th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs randy lavoie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Millie Marcotte (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.08
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Hugo Bry

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rylie Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Leveiller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Nicholas Mitchell

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jiuzhou Hao

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.