National Championship 2026 - Canada - Jarl Vetreiði (CC) - FaB-Results

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Lemire

12th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Dash I/O

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Dorinthea Ironsong

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

Dash I/O

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.25
R8	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.38

Julien Bergeron

47th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rylie Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Puffin, Hightail

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Greyson Hann (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.59
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.24
R10	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

53rd • 1-6-0

57%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Zyggy Starlight

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Robson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Allan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Liam Harrop (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.