Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at National Championship 2026 - Canada
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evelyn Hills (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dien Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.