Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 7-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabian Schunn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laurin Kuschel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
5th • 7-1-0
88%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Bednik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
19th • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
31st • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kirill Antropov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Koksch (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 30% | Loss |
16th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Bednik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nils Hauck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
22nd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Holzapfel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
37th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Ritter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nica Roth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
47th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Carsten Reuß (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
51st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrija Vukicevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lars Erichsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
63rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Reuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurin Kuschel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.