Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2026

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller

3rd • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Dash I/O

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

Katsu, the Wanderer

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

Arakni, Huntsman

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

95:5

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.53
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.64
R11	CC	Zyggy Starlight	95%	Win	✓	0.07	0.12
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

40th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Greune (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Ritter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dominik Holzapfel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.21
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.76
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.07

29th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mathis Kleinschmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Anger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Fai, Rising Rebellion

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

Katsu, the Wanderer

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Win	✗	0.73	2.16
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.99
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.