Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
54th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
68th • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Schäferling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carsten Reuß (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Möller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.