Jarl Vetreiði
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Werk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
10th • 6-1-0
71%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Duro (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
39th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Dominik Holzapfel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Johannes Janovsky (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Reuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Umut Kayan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.