Zyggy Starlight
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Duro (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Felix Krisch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
5:95
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
42nd • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Bauer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurin Kuschel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
Round 3: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Round 10: Win vs Dennis Werk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Möller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Petar Peric (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nica Roth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.