Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026 - Germany
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominik Holzapfel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vanessa Jaud (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Viet Pham (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
36th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Kempter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
24th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carsten Reuß (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Gremm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
71st • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Ritter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Peter Bauer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Hauck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Gremm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars Erichsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Ritter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finn Labe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Anger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.