Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at National Championship 2026 - Germany
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
69th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Anger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Bauer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
5:95
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 5% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 10% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.