National Championship 2026 - Germany - Arakni, Huntsman (CC) - FaB-Results

Arakni, Huntsman

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Bizau

11th • 6-1-0

86%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florian Huepper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Schunn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Valda, Seismic Impact

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Mark Duro (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.63
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.79
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

59th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Max Löhe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vanessa Jaud (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrija Vukicevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Ritter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Dash I/O

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dennis Nissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.75
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.18

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip Holtappel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.